{"id":37805,"date":"2024-09-19T08:41:49","date_gmt":"2024-09-19T11:41:49","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/maranhaotv.com.br\/?p=37805"},"modified":"2024-09-19T08:43:43","modified_gmt":"2024-09-19T11:43:43","slug":"exata-difusora-fred-campos-lidera-com-folga-na-disputa-pela-prefeitura-de-paco-do-lumiar","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/maranhaotv.com.br\/index.php\/2024\/09\/19\/exata-difusora-fred-campos-lidera-com-folga-na-disputa-pela-prefeitura-de-paco-do-lumiar\/","title":{"rendered":"Exata\/Difusora: Fred Campos lidera com folga na disputa pela Prefeitura de Pa\u00e7o do Lumiar"},"content":{"rendered":"\n


A pesquisa foi contratada pela R\u00e1dio e TV Difusora e est\u00e1 registrada no Tribunal Superior Eleitoral (TSE), sob o n\u00famero MA-07242\/2024.

Um levantamento realizado pelo Instituto Exata e divulgado nesta quinta-feira (19), mostra o candidato Fred Campos (PSB) \u00e0 frente na disputa pela prefeitura de Pa\u00e7o do Lumiar.
A pesquisa contratada pela R\u00e1dio e TV Difusora est\u00e1 registrada no Tribunal Superior Eleitoral (TSE), sob o n\u00famero MA-07242\/2024.
Ademais, foram ouvidos 463 eleitores, entre os dias 10 a 13 de setembro de 2024. O n\u00edvel de confian\u00e7a \u00e9 de 90% e tem uma margem de erro de 3,61 pontos para mais ou para menos.

Espont\u00e2neo

No cen\u00e1rio espont\u00e2neo, quando n\u00e3o s\u00e3o apresentados nomes dos candidatos, a pesquisa mostra Fred Campos com 54,36% das inten\u00e7\u00f5es de votos.
Em seguida aparece Dr. Filipe Gon\u00e7alo, com 9,17%; Jorge Maru, tem 2,75%; Francisco Neto, 1,38%; Luana Peixoto, 0,69%, Duarte, 0,23%; Gilberto, 0,23%; n\u00e3o sabe ou n\u00e3o respondeu, 7,11%; enquanto votos nulo ou branco somam, 24,08%.

Estimulado

J\u00e1 no cen\u00e1rio estimulado, quando \u00e9 apresentada uma lista de candidatos aos eleitores, Fred Campos aparece com 62,16%, seguido de Dr. Filipe Gon\u00e7alo (Mobiliza), com 12,39%.
Em terceiro lugar, Jorge Maru (Solidariedade) tem 5,37%. Logo ap\u00f3s aparecem Francisco Neto (Novo) com 3,21%; Luana Peixoto (DC) tem 1,83%; Nenhum, branco ou nulo somam 5,96%; e n\u00e3o souberam ou n\u00e3o quiseram responder, s\u00e3o 8,72%.

Votos v\u00e1lidos

O levantamento tamb\u00e9m apresentou cen\u00e1rio considerando apenas os votos v\u00e1lidos, ao se retirar os percentuais dos que n\u00e3o souberam ou n\u00e3o responderam, al\u00e9m dos nulos, brancos e ningu\u00e9m.
Neste cen\u00e1rio, Fred Campos tem 72,85%, sendo seguido de Dr. Filipe Gon\u00e7alo com 14,52%. Jorge Maru tem 6,72%; Francisco Neto, 3,76%, assim como Luana Peixoto 2,15%.

Rejei\u00e7\u00e3o

Para medir a rejei\u00e7\u00e3o dos candidatos, o Exata perguntou \u2018em qual deles o sr(a) N\u00c3O votaria de jeito nenhum?\u2019. A essa pergunta, 30,50% disseram n\u00e3o votar em Jorge Maru, seguido por Fred Campos, com 14,22% de rejei\u00e7\u00e3o.
J\u00e1 9,17% rejeitam Luana Peixoto; 6,88% Dr. Filipe Gon\u00e7alo; 5,73% dizem n\u00e3o votar em Francisco Neto.
Ademais, 5,28% disseram votar em todos; 8,03% n\u00e3o votariam em nenhum; e 20,18% n\u00e3o souberam ou n\u00e3o quiseram responder.

Expectativa de vit\u00f3ria

A pesquisa perguntou ainda quem os eleitores acham que ganhar\u00e1 a elei\u00e7\u00e3o, independente de quem eles votar\u00e3o. 82,34% disseram acreditar na vit\u00f3ria de Fred Campos, assim como 4,82% acham que Dr. Filipe Gon\u00e7alo ganhar\u00e1.
Ademais, 2,29% acreditam na vit\u00f3ria de Jorge Maru; 1,15% disseram que o eleito ser\u00e1 Francisco Neto; Luana Peixoto n\u00e3o pontuou.
Os eleitores que n\u00e3o souberam ou n\u00e3o quiseram responder somam 9,40%.

Reprodu\u00e7\u00e3o: TV Difusora<\/p>\n\n\n\n

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A pesquisa foi contratada pela R\u00e1dio e TV Difusora e est\u00e1 registrada no Tribunal Superior Eleitoral (TSE), sob o 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