{"id":38007,"date":"2024-09-27T07:50:16","date_gmt":"2024-09-27T10:50:16","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/maranhaotv.com.br\/?p=38007"},"modified":"2024-09-27T07:51:54","modified_gmt":"2024-09-27T10:51:54","slug":"pesquisa-aponta-reeleicao-de-dr-julinho-em-sao-jose-de-ribamar","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/maranhaotv.com.br\/index.php\/2024\/09\/27\/pesquisa-aponta-reeleicao-de-dr-julinho-em-sao-jose-de-ribamar\/","title":{"rendered":"Pesquisa aponta reelei\u00e7\u00e3o de Dr. Julinho em S\u00e3o Jos\u00e9 de Ribamar"},"content":{"rendered":"\n



O atual prefeito de S\u00e3o Jos\u00e9 de Ribamar, Dr. Julinho, desponta como favorito para a reelei\u00e7\u00e3o no munic\u00edpio, segundo pesquisa de inten\u00e7\u00e3o de votos realizada pelo Instituto Prever. O levantamento, feito entre os dias 18 e 21 de setembro e contratado pela R\u00e1dio Mirante e Portal Imirante, mostra que Dr. Julinho lidera com ampla vantagem em todos os cen\u00e1rios analisados. A pesquisa foi registrada no Tribunal Superior Eleitoral (TSE) sob o n\u00famero MA-00949\/2024.

Na modalidade espont\u00e2nea, onde os eleitores manifestam suas prefer\u00eancias sem que lhes seja apresentada uma lista de candidatos, Dr. Julinho aparece com 43% das inten\u00e7\u00f5es de voto. Em segundo lugar, surge Dudu Diniz com 12,2%, seguido por Guilherme Mulato, com 3,2%, e Mag\u00e3o, com 0,2%. Uma parcela significativa, 34,2% dos entrevistados, n\u00e3o soube ou preferiu n\u00e3o responder, enquanto 6,8% declararam voto em branco ou nulo, e 0,4% citaram outros candidatos.

Pesquisa Espont\u00e2nea:
– Dr. Julinho: 43,0%
– Dudu Diniz: 12,2%
– Guilherme Mulato: 3,2%
– Mag\u00e3o: 0,2%
– Outros: 0,4%
– Branco\/Nulo: 6,8%
– N\u00e3o sabem ou n\u00e3o responderam: 34,2%

O cen\u00e1rio fica ainda mais favor\u00e1vel para o prefeito quando os entrevistados s\u00e3o apresentados a uma lista de nomes, na chamada pesquisa estimulada. Nesse caso, Dr. Julinho sobe para 52%, mais do que o dobro das inten\u00e7\u00f5es de voto de Dudu Diniz, que alcan\u00e7a 21,2%. Guilherme Mulato aparece com 9%, Roberto C\u00e2mara com 1,8% e Mag\u00e3o com 1%. Neste cen\u00e1rio, 8% n\u00e3o souberam ou n\u00e3o responderam, e 7% optaram por branco ou nulo.

Pesquisa Estimulada:
– Dr. Julinho: 52,0%
– Dudu Diniz: 21,2%
– Guilherme Mulato: 9,0%
– Roberto C\u00e2mara: 1,8%
– Mag\u00e3o: 1,0%
– Branco\/Nulo: 7,0%
– N\u00e3o sabem ou n\u00e3o responderam: 8,0%

Quando se consideram apenas os votos v\u00e1lidos, excluindo brancos, nulos e indecisos, Dr. Julinho atinge 61,2% das inten\u00e7\u00f5es, o que representa uma confort\u00e1vel margem sobre Dudu Diniz, que soma 24,9%, e Guilherme Mulato, com 10,6%. Roberto C\u00e2mara e Mag\u00e3o t\u00eam 2,1% e 1,2%, respectivamente.

Votos V\u00e1lidos:
– Dr. Julinho: 61,2%
– Dudu Diniz: 24,9%
– Guilherme Mulato: 10,6%
– Roberto C\u00e2mara: 2,1%
– Mag\u00e3o: 1,2%

A pesquisa tamb\u00e9m avaliou a percep\u00e7\u00e3o dos eleitores sobre a possibilidade de reelei\u00e7\u00e3o do atual prefeito. Para 66,2% dos entrevistados, Dr. Julinho ser\u00e1 reconduzido ao cargo. Apenas 11,8% acreditam na vit\u00f3ria de Dudu Diniz, enquanto Guilherme Mulato \u00e9 visto como prov\u00e1vel vencedor por 2,6% e Roberto C\u00e2mara por 2,4%. Apenas 0,6% dos eleitores acreditam na elei\u00e7\u00e3o de Mag\u00e3o. Um total de 16,4% n\u00e3o soube opinar sobre a expectativa de vit\u00f3ria.

Expectativa de Vit\u00f3ria:
– Dr. Julinho: 66,2%
– Dudu Diniz: 11,8%
– Guilherme Mulato: 2,6%
– Roberto C\u00e2mara: 2,4%
– Mag\u00e3o: 0,6%
– N\u00e3o sabem ou n\u00e3o responderam: 16,4%

Quanto \u00e0 avalia\u00e7\u00e3o da gest\u00e3o de Dr. Julinho, os n\u00fameros tamb\u00e9m s\u00e3o positivos. A administra\u00e7\u00e3o do prefeito \u00e9 aprovada por 56,8% dos ribamarenses, enquanto 34% dos entrevistados desaprovam a gest\u00e3o. Um contingente de 9,2% n\u00e3o soube ou preferiu n\u00e3o opinar.

Avalia\u00e7\u00e3o da Gest\u00e3o:
– Aprovam: 56,8%
– Desaprovam: 34,0%
– N\u00e3o souberam ou n\u00e3o responderam: 9,2%

O levantamento do Instituto Prever entrevistou 500 eleitores de S\u00e3o Jos\u00e9 de Ribamar e apresenta margem de erro de 4,4 pontos percentuais para mais ou para menos, com um n\u00edvel de confian\u00e7a de 95%. Os dados apontam para uma elei\u00e7\u00e3o tranquila para o atual prefeito, que busca dar continuidade ao seu mandato e seguir implementando os projetos iniciados nos \u00faltimos anos.4<\/p>\n\n\n\n

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O atual prefeito de S\u00e3o Jos\u00e9 de Ribamar, Dr. Julinho, desponta como favorito para a reelei\u00e7\u00e3o no munic\u00edpio, segundo 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